ارائه رویکرد یکپارچه Z-SWARA-MARCOS بر اساس تجزیه و تحلیل SWOT جهت انتخاب استراتژی‌های واکسیناسیون

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی دکتری، گروه مهندسی صنایع، دانشکده مدیریت و مهندسی صنایع، دانشگاه صنعتی مالک اشتر، تهران، ایران

2 دانشیار، گروه مهندسی صنایع، دانشکده مدیریت و مهندسی صنایع، دانشگاه صنعتی مالک اشتر، تهران، ایران

چکیده
در دوران شیوع بیماری‌های واگیردار، واکسن‌ها همواره به عنوان یکی از عناصر حیاتی دفاع از سلامت عمومی به‌شمار می‌روند. هدف این تحقیق ارائه یک رویکرد یکپارچه برای انتخاب استراتژی مناسب برای واکسیناسیون است. رویکرد پیشنهادی در سه فاز ارائه شده است. در فاز اول این رویکرد، با استفاده از روش SWOT و تحلیل نقاط قوت، ضعف، فرصت‌ها و تهدید‌ها، استراتژی‌های مناسب می‌شوند. در فاز دوم، وزن معیار‌های ارزیابی استراتژی‌ها با استفاده از روش توسعه‌یافته تجزیه و تحلیل ارزیابی گام به گام اوزان (SWARA) بر اساس تئوری اعداد Z محاسبه می‌شوند. در نظر گرفتن قابلیت اطمینان در کنار عدم قطعیت، از جمله مزایای روش توسعه یافته Z-SWARA است. سپس در فاز سوم و با توجه به خروجی‌های فاز‌های اول و دوم، استراتژی‌ها با استفاده از روش توسعه‌یافته پیشنهادی سنجش و رتبه‌بندی گزینه‌ها بر اساس راه حل سازشی (MARCOS) بر اساس تئوری اعداد Z (Z-MARCOS) با در نظر گرفتن عدم قطعیت و قابلیت اطمینان اولویت‌بندی می‌شوند. به منظور نشان دادن کارایی رویکرد پیشنهادی این تحقیق، این رویکرد برای انتخاب استراتژی مناسب جهت پیاده‌سازی واکسیناسیون در کشور ایران پیاده‌سازی گردید و بر اساس نتایج، تأمین مرکزی و ایجاد فضای کافی، لزوم ارائه تست Antibody/PCR با هماهنگی میان بخش‌ها و تداوم افزایش تحقیقات جهت کسب دانش مربوط به واکسیناسیون حتی در زمان عقب‌نشینی موج همه‌گیری به عنوان استراتژی برتر جهت پیاده‌سازی واکسیناسیون شناسایی شده اند.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله English

An integrated Z-SWARA-MARCOS approach based on SWOT analysis to select infectious disease vaccination strategies

نویسندگان English

Ali Memarpour Ghiaci 1
mohammad Hosine Karimi gavareshki 2
1 PhD student, Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Management and Industrial Engineering, Malik Ashtar University of Technology, Tehran, Iran
2 Associate Professor, Department of Industrial Engineering, School of Management and Industrial Engineering, Malik Ashtar University of Technology, Tehran, Iran
چکیده English

During infectious disease outbreaks, vaccines are always considered a vital element in safeguarding public health. This study aims to propose an integrated approach to select appropriate strategies for vaccination. The proposed approach is presented in three phases. In the first phase, suitable strategies are identified using the SWOT method, analyzing strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. In the second phase, the weights of evaluation criteria for strategies are calculated using the Z-numbers theory-based stepwise weight assessment ratio analysis (SWARA) method. Considering reliability alongside uncertainty is one of the advantages of the developed Z-SWARA method. Subsequently, in the third phase and based on the outputs of the first two phases, strategies are prioritized by applying the Z-numbers theory-based measurement of alternatives and ranking according to compromise solution (MARCOS) method, considering uncertainty and reliability. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, it was implemented to select appropriate strategies for vaccination implementation in Iran. Based on the results, central procurement and creating sufficient space, the necessity of providing coordinated Antibody/PCR testing across sectors, and the ongoing increase in research to acquire knowledge related to vaccination, even during the downturn of the pandemic wave, have been identified as superior strategies for vaccination implementation.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Infectious disease
SWOT
Z-number theory
Multi-criteria decision-making
MARCOS
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